ExperimentEXP-2026-0015v0.1

PACC-Lab v0.8 — frozen-coordinate transfer basins over a correlation sweep

One composed coordinate fitted at q* = 0.20 is applied unchanged across a nine-point sweep q ∈ {0.06 … 0.42} (within-cluster correctness correlation rising from ≈ 0.203 to ≈ 0.502). N0/N1/N3 pass through q = 0.33 and fail from 0.36; N2 passes through 0.30 and fails from 0.33. At the edge the negative-control discrimination margin is lost first while absolute latent error stays small; target-local refit passes 9/9 everywhere. Four secondary seeds reproduce the basin exactly for N0/N1/N3 and a seed-sensitive N2 edge at 0.33.

Research status: STABLE the current conclusions are relatively stable
Evidence level: E3 Repeated experiment
Result: MIXED
Data basis: SYNTHETIC Synthetic data and theoretical reasoning. Many now treat synthetic data as if it were real; this laboratory says the opposite deliberately — until a real hybrid model exists, an inference is only an inference, and theoretically possible is not actually possible.
Version: 0.1
Updated: 2026-09-09
Created: 2026-09-09
Domain: Model Representation, Evaluation, Formal AI
Program: PRG-2026-0001 Adaptive Epistemic Systems
Authors: Neo.K (EveMissLab)
AI collaborators: Sol (GPT-5.6, OpenAI ChatGPT)

Hypothesis

hypothesis: A frozen probability-like coordinate has a finite transfer basin whose width depends on the family.

Setup

model_ids: MOD-2026-0001 N0 — signed support
MOD-2026-0002 N1 — ordinal tournament
MOD-2026-0003 N2 — signed graph
MOD-2026-0004 N3 — constraint competition
MOD-2026-0005 Bayesian reference (exact posterior / Beta-Bernoulli / joint common-cause / HMM)
dataset_ids: DAT-2026-0001 PACC synthetic evidence worlds
benchmark_ids: BEN-2026-0001 PACC micro-lab protocol v0.1 (frozen gates)
software_environment: Python; deterministic seeded generators; no network, no LLM.

Runs

run_count

random_seeds

20260909
4 secondary seeds

controls

shuffled-target mapping
constant prediction
broken composition (v0.6+)
target-local refit (v0.7+)

metrics

verdict

FAMILY_SPECIFIC_TRANSFER_BASINS

basins_grid

N0_N1_N3: [0.06, 0.33]
N2: [0.06, 0.30]

pass_fraction

N0: 7/9
N2: 6/9
N3: 7/9

local_refit

9/9

edge_N0_q0.36

task_js: 0.0488
latent_js: 0.0274
real_over_control: 0.858
fails: negative-control discrimination

Interpretation

interpretation: An atlas/basin picture: large regions share one low-complexity coordinate; different internal dynamics meet transfer boundaries at different places. High-q failure is not evidence that probability-like coordinates cease to exist there.

Limitations

limitations: Grid points only, not continuous coverage; no single global coordinate over all dependence strengths.

Reproduction

reproduction_instructions: Extract the version's FINAL bundle; python -m pytest -q; run the version's primary script with the recorded seed; docs/PACC_LAB_v0.N_RESULTS.md and docs/EXPERIMENT_PROTOCOL_v0.N.md are inside the bundle.

Results

Source	Relation	Target	Status	ID
`EXP-2026-0015` PACC-Lab v0.8 — frozen-coordinate transfer basins over a correlation sweep	`produces`	`RST-2026-0010` v0.8 basin map	`ACTIVE`	`REL-2026-0252`

Recorded fields

completed_at: 2026-09-09

Relations

Source	Relation	Target	Status	ID
`EXP-2026-0015` PACC-Lab v0.8 — frozen-coordinate transfer basins over a correlation sweep	`runs_on`	`SYS-2026-0002` PACC-Lab — micro-lab harness for the convergence conjecture	`ACTIVE`	`REL-2026-0241`
`EXP-2026-0015` PACC-Lab v0.8 — frozen-coordinate transfer basins over a correlation sweep	`uses_benchmark`	`BEN-2026-0001` PACC micro-lab protocol v0.1 (frozen gates)	`ACTIVE`	`REL-2026-0242`
`EXP-2026-0015` PACC-Lab v0.8 — frozen-coordinate transfer basins over a correlation sweep	`uses_dataset`	`DAT-2026-0001` PACC synthetic evidence worlds	`ACTIVE`	`REL-2026-0243`
`EXP-2026-0015` PACC-Lab v0.8 — frozen-coordinate transfer basins over a correlation sweep	`uses_model`	`MOD-2026-0001` N0 — signed support	`ACTIVE`	`REL-2026-0244`
`EXP-2026-0015` PACC-Lab v0.8 — frozen-coordinate transfer basins over a correlation sweep	`uses_model`	`MOD-2026-0002` N1 — ordinal tournament	`ACTIVE`	`REL-2026-0245`
`EXP-2026-0015` PACC-Lab v0.8 — frozen-coordinate transfer basins over a correlation sweep	`uses_model`	`MOD-2026-0003` N2 — signed graph	`ACTIVE`	`REL-2026-0246`
`EXP-2026-0015` PACC-Lab v0.8 — frozen-coordinate transfer basins over a correlation sweep	`uses_model`	`MOD-2026-0004` N3 — constraint competition	`ACTIVE`	`REL-2026-0247`
`EXP-2026-0015` PACC-Lab v0.8 — frozen-coordinate transfer basins over a correlation sweep	`uses_model`	`MOD-2026-0005` Bayesian reference (exact posterior / Beta-Bernoulli / joint common-cause / HMM)	`ACTIVE`	`REL-2026-0248`
`EXP-2026-0015` PACC-Lab v0.8 — frozen-coordinate transfer basins over a correlation sweep	`tests`	`THY-2026-0005` PACC conjecture — the four-level convergence ladder	`ACTIVE`	`REL-2026-0249`
`EXP-2026-0015` PACC-Lab v0.8 — frozen-coordinate transfer basins over a correlation sweep	`extends`	`EXP-2026-0014` PACC-Lab v0.7 — cross-geometry coordinate transfer without refitting	`ACTIVE`	`REL-2026-0250`
`EXP-2026-0015` PACC-Lab v0.8 — frozen-coordinate transfer basins over a correlation sweep	`produced`	`ART-2026-0028` PACC-Lab v0.8 Transfer Basin FINAL `artifact://evemisslab/adaptive-epistemic-systems/PACC-Lab_v0.8_Transfer_Basin_FINAL.zip`	`ACTIVE`	`REL-2026-0251`
`EXP-2026-0015` PACC-Lab v0.8 — frozen-coordinate transfer basins over a correlation sweep	`produces`	`RST-2026-0010` v0.8 basin map	`ACTIVE`	`REL-2026-0252`
`EXP-2026-0016` PACC-Lab v0.9 — a three-anchor probability-coordinate atlas	`extends`	`EXP-2026-0015` PACC-Lab v0.8 — frozen-coordinate transfer basins over a correlation sweep	`ACTIVE`	`REL-2026-0263`

History and provenance

Canonical URL

https://evemisslab.com/ai/experiments/EXP-2026-0015/

Machine-readable

/ai/experiments/EXP-2026-0015/index.json

Snapshot

AI-SNAPSHOT-v0.1-fe85b9694a45

Provenance

source: EveMissLab research collection: Adaptive Epistemic Systems (真本體論13)
extracted_by: Splice (Claude Code), reading the canonical UTF-8 sources and each lab's own result reports
extracted_at: 2026-09-11
generator: tools/extract_aes/extract.py
claim_boundary: status, evidence level and result type follow the source artifact's own stated claim boundary; nothing is upgraded beyond what the report supports